Archive for October, 2007
Is Your Mentor a Scammer?
By Marek W. Stupka | October 31, 2007
Recently, I received a whole slew of inquiries on what exactly can be found inside the exclusive 1-on-1 Training website. This is the answer.
Due to the ever increasing number of second- through twelfth-grade FOREX mentors many times operating with fraud, scam, and fake (or nonexisting) training interfaces, I decided to show to my audience a small piece of what’s really inside my training website. Here it is:
The 1-on-1 Training comprises 7 and 1/2 weeks full of quality training materials, 3 tested trading systems, 24 lessons, large number of interactive stuff, system updates, videos, trade signals, online reference, and other support documents. The interactive guide above is actually one of the 4 User’s Manuals on how to use the exclusive training interface.
Besides having the chance to work with me on a daily basis (over the emails, IM, and even phone), my 1-on-1 students also have access to several other cool features of the training. One of them is the online Trade Journal. Check out the User’s Manual below:
As you can see, my 1-on-1 Training is really a precise, comprehensive, and definitely no-fake training environment. By using the training tools contained in the exclusive training interface, I have already helped many people from around the world to become better traders and shift their trading results from the red zone to the black zone. Speaking of which, you are welcome to participate too.
Topics: Interactive/Videos | No Comments »
Day Trading For Part Timers
By Marek W. Stupka | October 30, 2007
Most people interested in trading would say: “I can only spend a few minutes per day watching charts. What type of trading do you recommend to me?”
Well, the answer is undoubtly: “Just apply FX day trading.” This is another FOREX specialty that makes it so unique and lovable-you don’t have to wait for the exchange opening times. You can trade 24/5!! And if there’s a small window anywhere in your daily schedule, you can still fit the day trading into it. Hey, but what exactly does the “day trading” mean?
When an investor decides to apply a day trading strategy, it means that he or she uses daily (1d) charts for his core studies. Other time scales may be used too, e.g. 4h or 1w, but only as reference charts. The basic scale is 1d - like the one above (observe, by the way, that the EURUSD has just reached a temporary peak).
Positions open via a day trading strategy essentially need a couple of days, if not weeks, to get closed. Thus, it is of virtually no importance in which FOREX session (or at what time of the FOREX day) you step into your trade. The most important thing is if you “catch” the no-fake start of a distinct long-term trend, and then trade it in just the right way to cash it in.
There are 3 trading systems, and about a dozen of trading strategies, that come with the 1-on-1 Training membership. Several of them are long-term, based on the 1d charts, which makes them applicable to day trading. If day trading is your cup of coffee, send me an email, and we will definitely fit FOREX into your schedule however tight it is.
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis | No Comments »
Another Wall Street Crunch?
By Marek W. Stupka | October 25, 2007
Two months after the collapse in the US subprime debt markets, Wall Street losses are fully erased. Many ask: Are we to expect another downer?
In the middle of July 2007, Wall Street has seen one of the most severe liquidity collapses in history. The situation was so serious that it required billion-dollar liquidity injections from the world’s largest central banks, including the FED. Today, the risk appetite of the “big dogs” seems to be back in the game again. However, despite the DOW is back to its historical highs, things are not quite the same as they used to be before July.
One of the major differences is the prevailing US Dollar weekness. At these price levels, greenback is extremely vulnerable to future FED interest rate cuts - that are now expected in near future by the ever-growing number of analysts worldwide.
Another great difference is the substantial decrease of earnings reported by the majority of large US banks. Merril Lynch, UBS, Credit Suisse - all of these, and many other banks, recorded shockingly vast losses in the subprime and leverage debt sectors.
The whole liquidity-crunch-is-over scenario is seriously dimmed by yet another, very influential factor - the US housing market. After such a great losses reported by the major US banks, the mortgage-backed instruments seem to be at popularity levels close to the absolute freezing point. Tens of billions of US dollars in mortgage loans are expected to be lost due to interest rate resets by the ends of 2008.
If the liquidity crunch is to occur again, it might get more severe and disastrous than the last one. The impact on the currency markets will be evident. EURUSD can easily reach the psychological 1.5000 level. The commodity dollars might post another historical highs. And the expected price action of the “Carry Trade” basket of currency pairs? Very likely to drop deep, deep down…
Please note that, at this point, the postulates above are only hypothetical. Whether we are going to see another liquidity crunch or not, due to precise technical tools we operate with WE MAKE MONEY EITHER WAY - on any trend-constituting move we spot in our charts!
Topics: News From Wall Street | No Comments »
Workers With Probability
By Marek W. Stupka | October 20, 2007
People always wonder what it is like to be a currency trader. How do we actually make our money? How do we tell perfect trades from the crappy ones?
First thing I do when I approach such a curious investigator is to remind him what FOREX trading - or trading any other instrument of the Financial Markets for that matter - is really all about. Trading = working with probability. A strategy game. Like chess, for instance…
I love comparing FX to strategy games, since strategic planning is at trading’s very core. There’s no such thing like a perfect trade, or a 100% winning sequence of moves. Each and every trading move depends on the ones already taken (usually by the major players). And on the ones to come. On the other hand, every trader has own set of tools he or she deploys in trading. The scope of the tools is so wide nowadays that it becomes confusing.
The point is to have the same tools as the pros do. And to know the game well enough to make money on it over the long haul. And believe me - I’m saying this from my own experience - you can’t make it on your own. I too had to learn from experienced traders in order to get where I am now. Every trader needs to grow. Acquiring quality education is absolutely crucial for all of us - if we are to win!
The 1-on-1 Training is designed to give you the best education I know of.
NOTA BENE: Look at the daily chart for EURUSD below. Compare it with my older posts. As predicted, Euro bulls really prevailed in here. Hope you’ve made $$$ on the move.
Topics: Lifestyle Of A Trader | No Comments »
Free FX Advice Day at GI !!
By Marek W. Stupka | October 18, 2007
On Thursday, October 18, we held a “Free Advice Day” and welcomed trading-related questions from traders worldwide, including trade setups.
[ 1-on-1 FX Training home is : www.gepardinvestments.com ]
I was surprised by the number of people who participated in this event. Thank you all for your trust in me as a FOREX trader and advisor. We had a very good time together. I had been producing my best advice in order to help those who participated with specific trading aspects they were working hard to improve at the time, or with concrete trades they were about to take and/or had already taken. Nobody’s question was ignored. Every person involved got a slice of what the 1-on-1 Training is really about!
IMPORTANT NOTE: This was a one-day event only! Please do not require the same level of trading advice from me after the event is over. To get my full attention - and receive a complex and quality trading education - you must apply for becoming my 1-on-1 Student.
[ Click here ] to learn more about the 1-on-1 Training, and the application process.
Topics: Events Of Interest | No Comments »
Carry Upmove Capped!
By Marek W. Stupka | October 17, 2007
In the last post I predicted the upmove for the most dynamic Carry Trade pair - GBPJPY. And the pair truly moved north. Now’s the time for correction…
Click on the GBPJPY 1d chart above. The pair is has just finished the right shoulder of the Head-and-Shoulders chart formation. At this point, the pair is ripe for a likely correction.
NOTE TO MY CURRENT 1-ON-1 STUDENTS: The Ichy Freak List is now fully replaced by the regular Chart Planner updates. In other words, Ichimoku Kinko Hyo has become an integrated part of the 1-on-1 Training’s system update structure…
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis | No Comments »
Euro Sentiment Bullish
By Marek W. Stupka | October 13, 2007
In my last post I’ve shown you the general EURUSD scenario right after the last NFP release. I also pointed out to the prevailing Euro bullish sentiment.
Have a good look at the 1h EURUSD chart above. After the NFP release this pair made a fast swing downwards only to end the day (Friday) in an up-turn, higher than before.
In the beginning of this week, the relentless USD bulls tried to dominate the market. Note that they didn’t get much further as to the previous price bottom. After that, the Euro bulls set the rules of the game again, and the pair is now pointing upwards again! Check the daily EURUSD chart to better understand what I am talking about…
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis | No Comments »
Markets Downplayed the NFP!
By Marek W. Stupka | October 5, 2007
The US Non-farm Payrolls came out at the stellar 110k vs. 100k. Plus, the 8/07 reading was revised to 89k instead of -4k. And still: no shift for the USD! Why?
First, let us look at the price action immediately caused by the financial markets’ most influential report - the US Non-farm Payrolls. Observe the EURUSD 15m chart below:
According to numerous forecasts and fundamental analysis, any NFP reading above the expected 100k should have had positive impact on the USD currency. If you closely examine the EURUSD price action on the 15m chart above, you’d see that except for the initial 20-30 minutes of the greenback rebound excitement, the market has actually moved in the very opposite way…
The question is: WHY DID THIS HAPPEN? Well, first thing that we need to consider in this context is the fact that the real market makers in this business - hedge funds and large banks - actually take their time (about 20 minutes) to read and thouroughly analyse the report itself! Their expensive Bloomberg and Dow Jones newsfeeds make it possible for their analytic departments to scrutinize every bit of the official report, and come up with conclusions you and I cannot afford to make unless we have a nice huge load of money to spend every month, and a whole bunch of analysts to process the news real-time.
Today, the verdict of the “big dogs” was: the market is downplaying the NFP rebound because its current reading increases the risks of recession, and decreases the possibility of FED’s next rate hike in the end of September!
Well, this is just another reason why we at Gepard Investments, Inc. are technical, not fundamental traders. The 1-on-1 Training has in store for its every participant two conservative, tailor-made trading systems, on how to actually trade the NFP. Each one of them showed to be profitable today. Again!
MY TIP TO TRADERS WORLDWIDE: WATCH THE CARRY TRADE !!!
Yes, it is true that the EURUSD pair posted high volatility swings today. Yes, it is also true that the pair is about to close the trading day with only minor change in price. But did you check the Carry - namely its most dynamic pair GBPJPY?
Observe the GBPJPY 15m chart above. The pair is rising as we speak! There are several reasons for this pair to have space for a rise. First, it is current uplift in the corelated Dow Jones Industrial Index. Second, it is the UK’s solid fundamental background. And last, and the most important, point is the overall technical picture favoring temporary rebound in the carry trade market. I’ll write more about this hot opportunity in the Trader’s Corner section…
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis | No Comments »
Carry Trade Rebound?!
By Marek W. Stupka | October 5, 2007
While eyes of most individual traders are on the currency majors, the “big dogs” are beginning to smell another set of juicy profits from the carry trade…
Observe the 1d chart for the most dynamic carry trade pair GBPJPY above. The pair is just about ready to post the right shoulder of the Head-and-Shoulders chart formation. At the solid red line breakout, there were all ingredients for a solid, mid- to long-term take-off !
[ Notice that I use Ichimoku Kinko Hyo for analysing the long-term trading opportunities. This limited blog space is not intended to describe every detail of this unique Japanese trading system which, if used wisely, is undoubtly the most powerful and profitable long-term strategy I know of. I have back-tested the system and it works very well. The comprehensive guide on how to use this system is part of the 1-on-1 Training.]
With my students, we are able to profit from trading opportunities like this is. Like I said, I will not dig deep into why my personalized Ichimoku strategy shows that the time has just been ripe to trade GBPJPY long. Neither am I going to share where do I see the market consolidating and/or reversing…
This know-how is destined exclusively for those who decide - or have already decided - to participate in the training, and let themselves be trained on how to trade with consistent profits. You can become one too [ click here to learn how ].
NOTE: If you are one of my 1-on-1 students and did not yet subscribe to receive the Ichimoku signals, drop me an email and I will add you to my Ichy Freak List. Once on the list, you will receive periodic updates on how to cash-in the opportunities that I plan for my own long-term trading…
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis | No Comments »