TRADER'S CORNER
Basic Charting And Simplified Technical Analysis
This is the place to publish mixture of information that might be of interest to active traders, preferably to my 1-on-1 Students.
Please note that nothing posted on this website is intended to form a trading recommendation or signal. As always, use your best judgement.
"If you're an active trader, and wonder about some insights on how to trade FOREX better, this is a good space to comb through.
Visit the Archives for older posts."
EURUSD Locked In a Range
By Marek W. Stupka | March 2, 2010
Today, I would like to bring your attention to one important fact that was scientifically proven using the math behind the charts: “Financial markets spent most of the time locked in clearly defined ranges”. Let’s have a look at the 1W chart for EURUSD…
Now in the 1D chart above [ click on the chart to get a bigger picture ], we can clearly identify the actual mid-term price range (green parallel S-R trend lines in the right part of the chart/ at GI we like to call them channels). Moreover, there are other profoundly long-term channels, or trannels, the pair has been bouncing on and off, some of them drawn in the chart (red), some not …
As usual, I will not go deeper into the thorough technical analysis of the EURUSD currency pair. One thing is clear, though, and that is the pair is now - like I already wrote in my last technical blog article - perfectly set for posting excellent trading opportunities when applying the CANAAL (short-term) and the CONFIRMATOR (mid-term) Trading Systems, both proprietary to Gepard Investments, Inc.
Let me just give you a beautiful example of how to trade a range-locked instrument, as EURUSD is at the moment - in accordance with the CONFIRMATOR TS in its Sher-lock market phase:
The chart above is actually EURUSD, t.m. the same currency pair as above, only rendered over a shorter time period (1 hour). All of the red circles you can see in the chart represent due CONFIRMATOR trading opportunities, or signals, generated by the CONFIRMATOR Trading System after considering all of its rules.
Watch out, though, no range is kept forever! There will come a time for this pair to cross the range barrier, either the top or the bottom one, and then to continue moving in line with a freshly defined new trend. For the immediate trend change, or swing as some like to call it, there are other technical tools to be applied choosing out of the comprehensive portfolio of GI technical toolset. If you are my 1-on-1 FX Student, I certainly recommend to review all materials comprised in Modules 4 and 10 of your training course in order to properly identify trading opportunities when price moves within a range, and when it crosses the range from inside out …
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis | No Comments »
EURUSD and DJIA Decoupled Significantly !!
By Marek W. Stupka | January 9, 2010
Today I want to start with citation of my August’09 forecast (which I confirmed in my September technical post): “EURUSD rising as far as to the important psychological resistance of 1.5000 after crossing the all-year resistance 1.4337 is my preferred outlook for this instrument…”
Now in the 1D chart above [ click on the chart to get a bigger picture ], one can see EURUSD price development with start in April 2009 and end today, the 9th of January 2010. Note that the most frequently traded FOREX pair traded just as I have prophesied already back in August 2009, t.m. in a long-term ascending channel (red), from October onwards capped by long-term ascending trend line (brown). Also note that it wasn’t until December 2009 till the pair: A. met the predicted 1.5000 psychological Resistance, B. broke below the bottom of the ascending channel, C. descended to the Ichimoku Kumo Cloud and below (more about Ichimoku Kinko Hyo, channel and trendline breakouts in the 1-on-1 Training Course), and started to post a reversing price pattern since that time…
In reference to my very last article posted on this blog, I do not want to go deeper into why I predict the EURUSD to mostly trade sideways in a broad range of 1.3000 and 1.5000 in 2010, and thus generate excellent trading opportunities for the CANAAL (short-term) and the CONFIRMATOR (mid-term) Trading Systems, both proprietary to Gepard Investments, Inc. What I want to focus on, however, is the rather substantial correlation decoupling between the benchmark Foreign Exchange instrument and the benchmark equity index instrument…
Note that the chart you see above [ again, feel free to click on the picture to get a bigger chart ] is rendered over the very same time period as the EURUSD chart in the beginning of my today’s post. This chart, however, is for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (if you tried to plot charts for both the S&P100 and S&P500, you end with pretty much the same price curve).
One interesting thing to recognize when comparing both charts is that, starting from December 2009, EURUSD has been significantly decoupling from the DJIA and the S&P. The correlation between the two, based mostly on the investor pattern generally known as “Flight to Safety” or “Flight to Quality” and representing pouring money into the greenback’s safe haven whenever investors smell a risk-aversive behavior in equities, has now been considerably weakened. One good reason for this is that neither USA nor Europe - or China (and China in particular, since it is now the investing party in a great sweet portion of the US national debt, while -unluckily for Uncle Sam- it now perceives America as its most treasured investment) - would want a weak-greenback scenario again. Weak dollar, implied predominantly by the irresponsible actions of the US Government and the FED in-between 2004 and 2008, has been one of the primary reasons why we have experienced the 2008-2009 Great Recession in the first place …
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis | No Comments »
Euro Skyrocketing As Foretold On 8/22/2009 !!
By Marek W. Stupka | September 22, 2009
As forecasted on July 22, the single European currency paired with its biggest rival, the US dollar, remained locked in an evident rising channel and made its way north after a series of range-bound price moves…
Note that in the chart above [ click on the chart to get a bigger picture ], there are two submerging Support and Resistance channels - the red channel and the blue channel. As per my market prophecy from late August, the referential currency pair traded in the broader range (red), and after crossing above the important all-year resistance 1.4337, confirmed its bullish momentum, and climbed high bouncing on and off borders of the narrower range (blue) …
Note also that on 8/22 I wrote that EURUSD rising as far as to the important psychological resistance of 1.5000 after crossing the all-year resistance 1.4337 is my preferred outlook for this instrument. And, as many times in the past, my forecast was right. Those of the readers that took my advice to heart are now a few hundreds - thousands, ten thousands - dollars richer, depending on how much they’ve invested…
However, please be advised that the S/R channel recognition presented to you above is just a simple, basic technique mostly used to identify price ranges of a currency pair, or any other traded instrument for that matter. To really be able to trade the markets and capitalize on your trading activities with profit, you should apply one of the trading strategies (combination of specific trading techniques) and/or trading systems (explicitly defined navigational guides on when, what, how much, and for how long to trade) taught in my 1-on-1 FOREX Training Course.
If you haven’t become member of the GEPARD trading family, you are invited to apply for the course at www.gepardinvestments.com. If you are my student, please refer to the corresponding lessons and updates to find out how to trade the referential, as well as the other major, currency pairs…
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis | No Comments »
Euro Bullish But Nearing All-Year Resistance !!
By Marek W. Stupka | July 22, 2009
With rising equities and renewed risk appetite there’s clear evidence for the EURUSD to head north. In any case, however, note that the pair is now nearing its important all-year Resistance which implies cautiousness when it comes to being overly euro optimistic…
Investors’ risk appetite is on the rise again, as mentioned in my last blog post. Note that, technically speaking, the referential FOREX pair is now evidently positioned in the long-term rising channel (red) and has just broken its mid-term Resistance cap (green). On the Fibonacci front, the pair has recently crossed above the 76.40% of the preceding big downmove which translates to 1.4183 in the EURUSD price. In addition, the latest MACDH Convergence Scenario only confirms this mid-term bullish trend…
Note also, however, that the most eyed FOREX pair is getting near the all-year Resistance of 1.4337. This is a very important psychological level and will very likely result in a renewed fighting between bulls and bears in the days and weeks to follow.
As for my preferred outlook, watch out for EURUSD to cross substantially above the all-year Resistance. Once this happens, the pair is very well positioned to “ALEXANDER skyrocket” all the way to 1.4500, or even to 1.4700 (major price peak from December 2008). Once, however, the pair gets range-bound under the umbrella of 1.4337, apply the SHER-LOCK trading type.
Remember to have all of your trades confirmed in line with the rules.
At Gepard Investments, Inc., we have special trading strategies (or better yet, we like to call them Trading Systems) for every market phase. When trading gets range-bound, we apply the second of the four types of the so called CONFIRMATOR Trading System named THE SHERLOCK Market Personality. Once a substantial breakout occurs on any of the long-term time scales, we deploy the so-called ALEXANDER Market Personality of this system. We also have other 2 back-tested trading systems at our disposal, covering trading on longer and shorter time scales. In addition, there is quite a number of the most recommended and conservative trading strategies used by professional trading houses and hedge funds. The point of the 1-on-1 Training is to guide a trader to develop his own trading plan following or slightly modifying one of the proven trading methods, respecting his or her own personality and trading style.
Feel free to send me an email if you have any questions about joining the community of GEPARD traders and participating in the 1-on-1 Training.
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis | 2 Comments »
EURUSD Triangle Range. Sure. Forecasted.
By Marek W. Stupka | July 1, 2009
In my last blog post I wrote: “Do you see the thick green lines in the chart? Right now, these are the Support and Resistance lines in-between which the pair is likely to trade in the following days.”. OK, guess what happened since I published my last simplified EURUSD analysis..?
The pair has been range-bound in between the thick green triangle for several days and even weeks now, and is gathering momentum for a breakout. For those of you who have not been using any of my strategies for range trading and are awaiting the breakout: Watch out for it in the days to come! When this happens, the movement might be fast and the volatility high. Ideal train to step aboard and make solid amount of cash in line with the rules. For determining the right time and direction of the breakout, please follow the rules of any of the proven intraday trading strategies, e.g. the one that is exploited in The CONFIRMATOR TS….
Note also that the pair has been moving not only in the range defined by the thick green trend lines forming a triangle but lately also in-between the 61.8% and 76.4% fibbles capping the preceding substantial price move - just in line with the rules for Fibonacci retracements.
Pay heed to these two S/R levels when positioning yourself for your next trade. Once one of these lines is successfully crossed above or below, the trading opportunity will be there. Of course, always confirm such an opportunity via a set of more sophisticated technical tools and strategies, in accord with the training materials.
At Gepard Investments, Inc., we have special trading strategies (or better yet, we like to call them Trading Systems) for every market phase. When trading gets range-bound, we apply the second of the four types of the so called CONFIRMATOR Trading System named THE SHERLOCK Market Personality. Once a substantial breakout occurs on any of the long-term time scales, we deploy the so-called ALEXANDER Market Personality of this system. We also have other 2 back-tested trading systems at our disposal, covering trading on longer and shorter time scales. In addition, there is quite a number of the most recommended and conservative trading strategies used by professional trading houses and hedge funds. The point of the 1-on-1 Training is to guide a trader to develop his own trading plan following or slightly modifying one of the proven trading methods, respecting his or her own personality and trading style.
Feel free to send me an email if you have any questions about joining the community of GEPARD traders and participating in the 1-on-1 Training.
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis | 2 Comments »
Corrective Move, Just In Line With My Analysis !!
By Marek W. Stupka | June 9, 2009
In my last blog post I wrote that: “The referential currency pair has just hit its long-term Resistance and will need more momentum to really break above it in a substantial way.” and that “The technical setup suggests a shaky movement on the north side of the indicator equilibrium in the days and weeks to come”. OK, guess what happened in the meantime..?
Elsewhere in the last post I also mentioned that: “Greenback felt to levels above the EURUSD psychological Resistance 1.4000. Note, however, that many trade position stops are placed at this rather significant price level of the referential EURUSD currency pair. Therefore, do not expect the market to substantially cross above this line easily. Candles and bars might get a little shaky…
Note that my conservative approach to further trading the pair bullish proved to be just right. In the 1D EURUSD chart above [click on the picture to get a bigger chart] we see that the most traded financial instrument in the world truly posted a corrective move.
Do you see the thick green lines in the chart above? Right now, these are the Support and Resistance lines in-between which the pair is likely to trade in the following days.
At Gepard Investments, Inc., we have a special trading strategy (or better yet, we like to call it a Trading System) for these kinds of market phases when the trading gets range-bound. It is the second of the four types of the so called CONFIRMATOR Trading System named THE SHERLOCK Market Personality. There are strict rules to the system and the type; they have been duly back-tested via up to 1000 demo trades, and they proved to work bearing consistent profits across all of the FOREX majors as well as most crosses. All my 1-on-1 students are given details of the system for free (as just one part of their training materials).
Now, in order to master and deploy a working, back-tested GEPARD trading system (either short-, or mid-, or long-term) you need the access codes to enter the community of GEPARD traders. Feel free to send me an email if you have any questions about joining our community and participating in the 1-on-1 Training.
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis | 4 Comments »
As Foretold, Dollar Continues to Shrink !!
By Marek W. Stupka | May 30, 2009
In a couple of my recent blog posts I have discussed the EUR-bullish outlook for the market (old posts can be found in the Archives of this blog). Those who took my advice to heart are now several hundred pips richer. Good old buck just did it again - shrink, I mean...
Another set of record-breaking price levels for the Euro paired against its major rival, the US dollar. The pair has just reached and significantly crossed the psychological resistance 1.4000. Interested in the fundamentals that triggered the aggressive dollar selling? Want to know what the catalyst was?
US GDP was revised up to -5.7% in Q1 from -6.1%, leaving the past two quarters as the worst in 50 years. The revisions reflect a change in gross private investment to -49.3% from -51.8%, a shift in exports to -28.7% from -30.0%, and a rise in the inventory change to -$91.4B from -$103.7B. Meanwhile, personal consumption was revised down to 1.5% from 2.2% due to a contraction in demand for nondurable goods and slower services growth.
These catalysts forced the greenback to fall to levels above the psychological Resistance 1.4000. Note, however, that many trade position stops are placed at this rather significant price level of the referential EURUSD currency pair. Therefore, do not expect the market to substantially cross above this line easily. Candles and bars might get a little shaky this week..
The bullish technical scenario in the 1W chart proved to work as smoothly as it was foretold in my earlier posts. In the 1W chart above [ click on the picture to get a bigger chart ] we can see that my EUR-bullish forecast was successful - AGAIN !! - and the price has just reached the 76,4% fibble at 1.4180.
Note, however, that at this point the long-term indicators for this pair are heavily overbought. This simple technical setup suggests a shaky movement on the north side of the indicator equilibrium in the days and weeks to come. The outlook is only powered by the fact that in this case the technical perspective agrees with the fundamental picture above.
In other words - I’d be a little more careful trading the pair long this time - the referential currency pair has just hit its long-term Resistance and will need more momentum to really break above it in a substantial way…
And, as usual, be advised that what is being presented to you here is a very simplified technical analysis, and you are under no circumstances advised to understand it as a trade signal or recommendation. To actually deploy a trade, you should have it backed by a full-scope technical examination, that we at Gepard Investments, Inc. like to call the Trading System, following a clearly defined Trading Plan.
Now, in order to master and deploy a working, back-tested GEPARD trading system (either short-, or mid-, or long-term) you need the access codes to enter the community of GEPARD traders. Feel free to send me an email if you have any questions about joining our community and participating in the 1-on-1 Training.
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis, News From Wall Street | 2 Comments »
As Forecasted, EUR Continues to Gain !!
By Marek W. Stupka | April 2, 2009
Those traders that have listened to my long-term forecasts predicting EURUSD to rise long before it did (old posts can be found in the Archives of this blog) are now several hundred pips richer. Let’s look at the charting...
The bullish convergence scenario in the 1W chart proved to work as smoothly as it was foretold. In the 1D chart above [ click on the picture to get a bigger chart ] we can see that my forecast came out at the very bottom of the long-term price action.
Note that there’s another bullish convergence, agreeing with the indicators, this time in the 1D chart above. This simple technical setup suggests a continuing movement to the north in the days or weeks to come. However, I’d be a little more careful this time - the referential currency pair nears its long-term Resistance found in the weekly chart (not charted in here)…
N.B. Those of you who do not understand what the crap we are talking about are welcome to apply to my 1-on-1 course where Convergence/Divergence Scenarios are explained in great detail.
And, as usual, be advised that what is being presented to you here is a very simplified technical analysis, and you are under no circumstances advised to understand it as a trade signal or recommendation. To actually deploy a trade, you should have it backed by a full-scope technical examination, that we at Gepard Investments, Inc. like to call the Trading System, following a clearly defined Trading Plan.
Now, in order to master and deploy a working, back-tested GEPARD trading system (either short-, or mid-, or long-term) you need the access codes to enter the community of GEPARD traders. Feel free to send me an email if you have any questions about joining our community and participating in the 1-on-1 Training.
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis | No Comments »
And Indeed - EUR Moved Up as Predicted!
By Marek W. Stupka | March 13, 2009
In my last technical post I predicted EURUSD to move upwards - and it did. We at GI still prefer profiting from trading long (either short- or mid-term) on this pair, following the Convergence Scenario present in 1W chart.
Note the bullish convergence scenario in the chart above [ click on the picture to get a bigger chart ]. This simple technical setup suggests a continuing movement to the north in the days or weeks to come. So far, traders that listened to my prophecy and traded on it via a back-tested trading system are now about 300 pips richer…
N.B. Those of you who do not understand what the crap we are talking about are welcome to apply to my 1-on-1 course where Convergence/Divergence Scenarios are explained in great detail.
Note, however, that what is being presented to you here is just a very simplified technical analysis, and you are under no circumstances advised to understand it as a trade signal or recommendation. To actually deploy a trade, you should have it backed by a full-scope technical examination, that we at Gepard Investments, Inc. like to call the Trading System, following a clearly defined Trading Plan.
Now, in order to master and deploy a working, back-tested GEPARD trading system (either short-, or mid-, or long-term) you need the access codes to enter the community of GEPARD traders. Feel free to send me an email if you have any questions about joining our community and participating in the 1-on-1 Training.
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis | 5 Comments »
EUR Ready for a Corrective Upmove !!
By Marek W. Stupka | February 27, 2009
The fundamental reports published over the past few days have brought several shockingly surprising data sets, negative both for the Eurozone and the USA. One typical example is the Q4 2008 Gross Domestic Product which was revised for the US under -6% y/y and for Germany under -2% y/y.
These bluntly negative numbers triggered several spontaneous and very volatile price actions, including the one seen in the EURUSD chart last week. In any case, as said earlier, we at GI still prefer profiting on the long trades (either short- or mid-term) with this pair, following the evident convergence scenario present in the long-term 1W chart.
Note the bullish convergence scenario in the 1W chart above [ click on the picture to get a bigger chart ]. This simple technique suggests change of the current downtrend and a swing movement to the north in the days or weeks to come. N.B. Those of you who do not understand how to trade on convergence/divergence scenarios are welcome to apply to my 1-on-1 course where C/D Ss are explained in great detail.
Note, however, that what is being presented to you here is just a very simplified technical analysis, and you are under no circumstances advised to understand it as a trade signal or recommendation. To actually deploy a trade, you should have it backed by a full-scope technical examination, that we at Gepard Investments, Inc. like to call the Trading System, following a clearly defined Trading Plan.
Now, in order to master and deploy a working, back-tested GEPARD trading system (either short-, or mid-, or long-term) you need the access codes to enter the community of GEPARD traders. Feel free to send me an email if you have any questions about joining our community and participating in the 1-on-1 Training.
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis | 4 Comments »
What’s Rising in 2009: The Euro or the Dollar??
By Marek W. Stupka | January 3, 2009
With the arrival of 2009, many currency traders wonder what the next 12 months are going to look like for the two most traded currencies in the world. Is the dollar going to strengthen, as it did over the last couple of months of 2008? Or is the euro going to prevail, as had been the case in the long months before the 2008 crisis?
Since the New Year’s Eve, I have been asked this same question over and over again. My answer is: DO NOT TRY TO INVEST IN ANY LONG-TERM FX POSITION THIS YEAR !! After the emotion-driven market behavior in the late 2008, the markets are simply best set for short- to mid-term trades. Just look at the simplified technical analysis of the 1W and 1d EURUSD charts above and below, and observe their volatile character. TRUE MONEY in this market is to be made by following a proven, back-tested short- to mid-term trading system. No long-term market prophecy would make sense.
Strictly and with no exceptions, we at Gepard Investments, Inc. use The CANAAL for signaling openings of our short-term trading positions, and The CONFIRMATOR for signaling openings of our mid-term trading positions. For a better understanding of the basics on how these two systems work, perform a search for the systems’ names in the Search Box in the right navigation pane above…
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis | No Comments »
EURUSD Ready for a Corrective Move
By Marek W. Stupka | December 14, 2008
A lot has happened in the investment world over the last couple of weeks. We have seen the G4 central banks cutting interest rates to historically low levels. We have seen the US unemployment skyrocketing. We have seen emotional discussions on the necessity to bail out the US auto industry (first the talks collapsed, now the US Treasury signals a rescue). OK, wrap it up, Marek! All we want to know is: Quo Vadis (Where are you heading), EURUSD?
Examine the 1d EURUSD chart above [ click on the picture to get a bigger chart ]. The referential currency pair has just reached the green Resistance trend line and is about to post a corrective move. Note, however, that the sentiment is slowly turning against the USD bulls, so expect the pair to attack the green R again in near future. Once the attack succeeds and the trend line is broken, the pair is well positioned to rise.
Those of my students who are practitioning the traditional Japanese Ichimoku Kinko Hyo strategy (shown in the chart above) are advised to wait until the price breaks out of the Kumo cloud in the chart above - since, as we know, all of the day traders better stay on the sidelines while the market is within the Kumo. Once the Kumo is broken and all 5 of the traditional Ichy signals are in place, the time will be ripe to shoot north in accordance with the Ichimoku Trading System.
Of course, to really be able to MAKE MONEY on setups like above you need a much more sophisticated technical toolset than what is being presented here. The 3 fully working, back-tested trading systems we have used at Gepard Investments, Inc. for over 2 years now to generate consistent profits are at full disposal to every participant of my 1-on-1 Forex Training. They comprise exact rules on when, what, how much, and for how long, you are supposed to trade…
If you would like to get unlimited access to all of the 1-on-1 Training’s resources, including the 3 back-tested trading systems mentioned above, simply click here and you will be taken to a comprehensive description site on how the course works. You can also send me an email to marek@gepardinvestments.com before you apply!
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis | 5 Comments »
As Predicted on 10/21, US Dollar Skyrocketed !!
By Marek W. Stupka | October 26, 2008
Those of you who read my previous technical post and have followed my simple trading advice are now a few hundreds (thousands?, ten thousands? - it depends on how much you’ve invested) dollars richer. Note that the prediction has been accurate. Again !!!
The following statement is both true and powerful, and I have already mentioned it several times throughout this blog >> The FOREX market shows fantastic predictability and pattern recognition when compared with e.g. the stock or the bond markets (both now experiencing chaotic and unpredictable, bottom-headed slides) …
The price action in our 4h EURUSD chart [ click on the picture to get a bigger chart ] is just another proof of the statement above. The referential currency pair made another fresh low, with USD skyrocketing to the levels predicted in the simple technical analysis from my last blog update (exploiting the convergence scenario). The recent Euro downmove brought money to every trader following my analysis.
Of course, to be able to REPEATEDLY CAPITALIZE on setups like the one you see above you need a much more sophisticated technical toolset than what is being presented here. The 3 fully working, back-tested trading systems we have used at Gepard Investments, Inc. for over 2 years now to generate consistent profits are at full disposal to every participant of my 1-on-1 Forex Training. They comprise exact rules on when, what, how much, and for how long, you are supposed to trade…
If you would like to get unlimited access to all of the 1-on-1 Training’s resources, including the 3 back-tested trading systems mentioned above, simply click here and you will be taken to a comprehensive description site on how the course works. You can also send me an email to marek@gepardinvestments.com before you apply!
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis | 2 Comments »
USD Listens to Bernanke & Global Markets!
By Marek W. Stupka | October 21, 2008
US dollar received support after FED Chairman, Mr. Bernanke, said that an additional US fiscal injection should be considered to help improve access to credit for consumers, homebuyers and businesses. USD also rose due to funding demand generated by big investment sharks…
We’ve already discussed that the FOREX market continues posting easily tradable patterns, even despite the equity markets make highly unpredictable, pre-election price moves. Currently, the currency market is traded in massive volumes - which is GREAT NEWS FOR ALL FX TRADERS since the liquidity of the world’s most liquid market is now even higher than the standard - with many big players in the industry withdrawing their money from risky equity instruments and pouring them into spot and future FOREX. This only proves right my claims made in the previous posts about the relatively low risk levels attached to FX trading…
Have a closer look at the 4h EURUSD chart above [ click on the picture to get a bigger chart ]. The referential currency pair made a fresh 1 and 1/2 year low, bringing the USD to the level from the beginning of 2007. Note the convergence scenario in the chart marked by red trend lines. This simple technique is helping us at Gepard Investments to capitalize on the continuing downmove as we speak.
Of course, to be able to MAKE MONEY on setups like the one you see above you need a much more sophisticated technical toolset than what is being presented here. The 3 fully working, back-tested trading systems we have used at Gepard Investments, Inc. for over 2 years now to generate consistent profits are at full disposal to every participant of my 1-on-1 Forex Training. They comprise exact rules on when, what, how much, and for how long, you are supposed to trade…
If you would like to get unlimited access to all of the 1-on-1 Training’s resources, including the 3 back-tested trading systems mentioned above, simply click here and you will be taken to a comprehensive description site on how the course works. You can also send me an email to marek@gepardinvestments.com before you apply!
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis | 2 Comments »
Currencies - One of the Safest Markets Today !!
By Marek W. Stupka | September 19, 2008
This week, fear has dominated the global stock markets. Black Monday and Terrible Tuesday tragedies described in my last post were followed by even deeper financial crisis, despite billion-dollar injections of major central banks. Newspapers around the world published picture of a Wall Street trader pressing a cellphone to his ear and crying in despair…
Stocks of several US, EU and Asian financial institutions felt to record lows, domino-effected by tragedies of the Lehman Brothers, AIG (mercifully helped by the US Government), Goldman Sachs and the like. Major stock indexes experienced chaotic volatility, pledging many traders’ accounts.
HOWEVER, THE LATEST DEVELOPMENT IN THE FOREX MARKETS BROUGHT NOTHING ELSE BUT A SERIES OF PREDICTABLE TECHNICAL PATTERNS!
The 4h EURUSD chart above shows a “classy” descending channel breakout followed by a triangle formation that is close to perfection! This exemplary and easily tradable triangle has been formed this very week, t.m. in the same period of time when stock and bond markets posted unpredictable, chaotic, and aggressive moves, causing that guy from the magazine photo to cry a river full of bitter tears…
Moreover, the 1d EURUSD chart has posted a beautiful correction towards the first Fibonacci level, so often seen in any non-turbulent market. And it’s not just the EURUSD. Check out the AUDUSD, for instance!
This article was written to prove how safe is the market we operate in. Want the reasoning? Simple. Our market is not influenced by the outcomes of specific companies or banks, rather by the outcomes of the world’s most prosperous countries. These are mostly scheduled in the economy calendars, leaving as small room for unexpected surprises as possible. In addition, world’s biggest economies are very hard to file for bankruptcy!
Apart from the above, FOREX has other advantages as well. Today, I want to challenge you to switch to trading currencies, whatever other market you trade (except maybe T-Bills, commodity futures, and some selected options). FOREX simply is one of the SAFEST MARKETS to trade! If you want to learn FOREX trading 1-on-1, write me an email and we will work things out for you whatever mess you’re in…
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis, News From Wall Street | 2 Comments »
Euro Pushed South By the Freddie/Fannie Bailout!
By Marek W. Stupka | September 8, 2008
The US Government bailed out Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac! This has been the Nr.1 fundamental story influencing the markets today. The dollar strenghtened within the 1h channel pushing the euro down south …
Although the market was expecting the bailout of the two largest US mortgage companies for some time, today’s price action has definitely surprised many investors. With the start of the Autumn season the markets are highly liquid and volatile again, and the strategic EURUSD major has just made another set of fresh lows.
NOW TO OUR PREFERRED ANALYSIS: THE TECHNICAL VIEW. The charting you see above is what we at Gepard Investments, Inc. use for planning our daily trades. [Click on the chart to see bigger picture]. In the chart, I have purposefully erased all the important data revealing how the system works and what it takes to trade it, to just present its general idea and, most importantly, to prove that it works well in all market situations, today’s one including.
We use mid-term technical studies to MAKE MONEY on the moves like you’ve seen today. To trade with the current trend, we apply the ALEXANDER Market Personality (used for trending marekts), and use THE CONFIRMATOR = my mid-term Trading System to capitalize on multiple price bounces during the pair’s fall…
If you would like to get unlimited access to all of the 1-on-1 Training’s resources, including the 3 back-tested trading systems we have used at Gepard Investments, Inc. for over 2 years now to generate consistent profits, simply click here and you will be taken to a comprehensive description site on how the course works. You can also send me an email to marek@gepardinvestments.com before you apply!
Come back again in a few days for another fresh insight…
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis, FOREX Trading Systems | 2 Comments »
As Predicted on August 17, Euro Consolidated!
By Marek W. Stupka | August 21, 2008
As per the simple analysis in my recent technical post, the major EURUSD curency pair bounced off the bottom of the green ascending channel drawn on the profoundly long-term 1w chart. Note that the prediction was right. Again! Check out the pair’s last movement in the chart below…
[Click on the chart to see bigger picture] Have a closer look at the 1w EURUSD chart. The price has wonderfully obeyed the important Support trend line, and the pair has consolidated, making a reversal move.
There are at least 2 WAYS TO MAKE MONEY on a movement like the one you see above. One is to open a profoundly long-term position in line with the S/R analysis (of course, it has to be backed by more sophisticated technical tools taught in my training course). The other one is to use mid-term technical studies to trade with the current trend, and use THE CONFIRMATOR = my mid-term Trading System to capitalize on multiple price bounces during the pair’s fall…
If you would like to get unlimited access to all of the 1-on-1 Training’s resources, including the 3 back-tested trading systems we have used at Gepard Investments, Inc. for over 2 years now to generate consistent profits, simply click here and you will be taken to a comprehensive description site on how the course works. You can also send me an email to marek@gepardinvestments.com before you apply!
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis | 2 Comments »
EURUSD - How Far South Can It Go?
By Marek W. Stupka | August 17, 2008
After the referential EURUSD major made the spectacular correction move predicted in my post from July 17, it has been continuing on its downward path ever since. Now I keep receiving questions on how far more do I think the pair is about to fall. Well, check out the chart below:
[Click on the chart to see bigger picture] Have a closer look at the 1w EURUSD chart. Profoundly long-term, 1 week chart scales are especially suitable for cases like this is. Can you recognize in the chart the green ascending channel (or trannel, as we like to call it at GI)? Can you see how it is just crossing the 1.4600 price level as we speak? Well, this level is very likely to become the pair’s next Support where the pair is likely to consolidate. Another, very strong Support level is at 1.4400 = the top of the kumo cloud also backed by the historical support from 12/2007 and 1/2008.
Of course, to be able to MAKE MONEY on setups like the one you see above you need a much more sophisticated technical toolset than what is being presented here. The 3 fully working, back-tested trading systems we have used at Gepard Investments, Inc. for over 2 years now to generate consistent profits are at full disposal to every participant of my 1-on-1 Forex Training. They comprise exact rules on when, what, how much, and for how long, you are supposed to trade…
If you would like to get unlimited access to all of the 1-on-1 Training’s resources, including the 3 back-tested trading systems mentioned above, simply click here and you will be taken to a comprehensive description site on how the course works. You can also send me an email to marek@gepardinvestments.com before you apply!
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis | 2 Comments »
As Predicted on July 17, Euro Felt Tumbling Down!
By Marek W. Stupka | August 7, 2008
As per the simple analysis in my recent technical post, the major currency pair felt to the bottom of the red channel submerging to the bigger (green) channel on the 1d chart. Note that the prediction was right. Again! Check out the pair’s last movement in the chart below…
[Click on the chart to see bigger picture] Have a closer look at the 1d EURUSD chart. The price has wonderfully obeyed both technical Support and Resistance lines, and has tumbled ALL THE WAY DOWN to the red channel’s very bottom.
There are at least 2 WAYS TO MAKE MONEY on a movement like the one you see above. One is to open a profoundly long-term position in line with the S/R analysis (of course, it has to be backed by more sophisticated technical tools taught in my training course). The other one is to use mid-term technical studies to trade with the current trend, and use THE CONFIRMATOR = my mid-term Trading System to capitalize on multiple price bounces during the pair’s fall…
If you would like to get unlimited access to all of the 1-on-1 Training’s resources, including the 3 back-tested trading systems we have used at Gepard Investments, Inc. for over 2 years now to generate consistent profits, simply click here and you will be taken to a comprehensive description site on how the course works. You can also send me an email to marek@gepardinvestments.com before you apply!
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis | 5 Comments »
€ in 2 Submerging Channels! (2)
By Marek W. Stupka | July 17, 2008
In my recent technical post, I predicted the referential EURUSD curency pair to move within a distinct channel range submerging to a bigger channel on the 1d chart. The prediction has been right again! Check out what action the pair’s price has posted over the previous weeks…
[Click on the chart to see bigger picture] Inspect the 1d EURUSD chart above as it stands now. Want a quick market prophecy? After several attempts to break the red, inner channel Resistance level, the pair needs some time to let off steam and make a correction move downwards. The bearish scenario is also backed by the evident, and almost exemplary, Divergence Scenario on the 1d.
Detailed description of the way to capitalize on Convergence/Divergence Scenarios like the one you see in the 1d EURUSD chart above is included in the 1-on-1 Training. In fact, this is one of the most powerful and fascinating techniques ever used to trade the markets. It works like magic accross all time scales, with only few exceptions…
If you wonder what it takes to actually participate in the 1-on-1 Training, there’s an easy way to find out. Simply click here, and you will be taken to an information website with comprehensive description on how the course works. Since the training seats are limited, it is a good idea to check the course availability by sending me an email at marek@gepardinvestments.com before you apply!
Topics: FOREX Trading Analysis | 3 Comments »